I am also a resident of Bizarro world, at least to some extent.. the fact that the hospital protocols literally kill people is a massive thumb on the scale. My pro-vax father can't get past this because he has seen unvaccinated people die of covid or have terrible sequelae, and says they should have gotten the vax, without realizing that the proper comparison is to a treatment protocol that isn't designed to kill the patient. People also get wrapped around the axle on effectiveness and waning. From what I can tell, the shots initially have negative effectiveness and a higher odds of infection (the worry window), then are broadly effective for a period of time, and then may resume negative effectiveness after "waning". At least that's what the UK data appears to show. Many people latch onto the waning and then attempt to disprove the period of effectiveness, which actually does exist. But remember, it doesn't need to prevent or even reduce chances of contracting covid, it only has to increase your odds of staying out of a hospital!
To make things more complex you also have variants that very in vax effectiveness as well as underlying severity.
Anyway, I had also noticed what you point out about all cause mortality in the northeast. There's no question that the Bizarro world effect is in full force here. However, as far as vax injury, I don't think it's impossible to see in all-cause mortality. Some vax injury happens right out of the gate, but other shows up later as a slow drip. The key to analyzing all cause mortality is age stratification, because death rates in the people who were likely to die anyway swamp the numbers. Have you seen this write-up on german numbers? It's a slam dunk in my opinion (note that I'm unaware of the covid protocols used in german hospitals, they are probably not as bad as the US):
One interesting question is how the vax stacks up against vitamin D.. if that was enough to reduce severity to keep out of the hospital, would it fix the stats?
Thanks, I already belong to those, and my inbox is the same way! I love all the different perspectives though, I so appreciate these substackers perspectives and expertise. 😊
Yeah ok and the Germany one looks the same way as far as scale, but much more dramatic time correlation. If Smalley follows up with a post saying “look, given MA and Germany, something is off about the scale of excess in other US states, there’s something going on besides the injections,” maybe Earth and Bizarro World can finally unite.
I recall approving of the MA review, as it didn’t try to take any leaps. So what I would do with that is say “this is the likely scale for 1st-year AE deaths, look, it’s smaller than the excess mortality in Southern and Midwestern red states who had less uptake, see where the disconnect is?” So I’ll check out the Germany one, thanks!
The UK data is hazardous because of a potential healthy user bias on who gets left behind after the booster roll-out, though it turns out more people declined booster than one might expect, so maybe it’s a valid signal of eventual negative severe efficacy. There could be a tipping point where antibodies don’t ramp up fast enough to prevent some spike in the blood which reinforces damage from the vaccine for example. The whole design is a double-edged sword after all.
Yes the MA review is pretty much 'here's the data' which is good. And it's not 100% clear what it all means - really it's the middle aged groups that really stand out IIRC. He has many many other posts that seem to all show similar trends though, in that all-cause does show some problems.
I agree about the UK data, there is the possibility of healthy user bias, and there is also always trickiness around rollouts where people are counted in the wrong bins. If only we had a proper clinical trial still running with a control group! But in any case, it doesn't disprove the Bizarro world claim that there really is an efficacy against severe infection, at least for some period of time.
BTW on an unrelated note, have you seen the latest from Arne Burkhardt in Germany? They just released a new updated report from their ongoing pathology work. One interesting thing they mentioned, was they've started doing direct pathogen testing on tissues, checking for S and N protein matches using tagged antibodies, and finding S protein without N in various places where damage has occurred. Note that this is on people who are many months post vax. The goal was to rule out COVID infections being the proximal cause. I'm not sure I understand how this happens, unless there are some cells that for whatever reason the spike proteins don't properly bind to the cell membrane, and they keep pumping them out. Otherwise, I would have thought those cells would be already killed. That's just a tiny part of the report though, they report a lot of what appears to be massive destruction throughout the body wrought by these injections. Another interesting thing, they investigated the likelihood of the injection going straight into the blood, and they concluded it's fairly likely. They also mentioned anecdotally that a pediatrician who routinely aspirates was finding a vein about 40% of the time IIRC. I didn't catch everything on the video and unfortunately they don't have a written report out yet.
That fits with my upcoming spike clots post. Spike induces amyloid clotting which is akin to bacterial biofilms, plus which has defective breakdown, so the clots turn into a time vault. Matches Cole’s slides which show cells trapped in the rubbery clot sample, again akin to a bacterial biofilm. But more likely for recipients with pre-primed hypercoagulation from diabetes etc.
Aha! Thanks, it hadn't occurred to me that the cells might just be inaccessible, but that makes a lot of sense.
Does Dr. Cole have an update? Last I heard he hadn't gotten a chance for a deep investigation. It also seems like some mortician should try to capture a sample intact within a vein for further analysis.
Right, and Cole's source is one of the embalmers (per Kirsch's post's text) so who knows if it's all a setup. He mentions seeing similar things in tissue slides. The Kirsch update was still just the other day https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/pathologist-ryan-cole-on-the-mysterious and the accidentally plausible explanation for the structure comes from Pretorius's research https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/labs/pmc/articles/PMC8380922/ Figs 6 and 7 (her team's work spans several papers showing amyloid clotting during infection but this is the one that tests out spike S1 alone)
Yes, the embalmer thing seemed too crazy to be true, but I increasingly tend to believe it. But I was wondering why pathology studies had not discovered it.
Another mystery is how exactly these form so long after vaccination - as the presumption is that the spike proteins and transfected cells are all long gone by that point. Accretion of microclots? Or something to do with widespread micro-leaks from the circulatory system caused by NLPs attacking it all over the place ( https://covidmythbuster.substack.com/p/embalmer-conundrum-aha-moment?s=r )
I didn't completely understand that aspect of the Burkhardt video, except that it sounded like he had discovered a similar type of material?
I do sprawl the prose quite a bit when going into "contrarian Covid vax skeptic" territory. But, I'm doing so in response to the knowledge that most of my readers have imbibed an alternate reality for months on end and there is a huge perspective gap to bridge. It's like trying to write a recipe but having to define "egg" and "flour" from the ground up first. Still, I'll try to trim it down next time!
Please don't trim. Just remain eloquent. For the slow readers, here's a summary: Governments bad. Victims sad. Abused mad.
I'm a big fan of investigation, but a bigger fan of prosecution. The big question is when will the perpetrators be brought to justice. Many will escape, but I'm confident there will be prosecutions. Hopefully enough to discourage doing it again. Many governments have clearly developed a taste for it, and they'll keep at it until WE make them stop.
Thank you. I am not confident in such things at all. I’m more wishful that humans can just stop thinking of taking and administering medicine as something we should be devoting more than the smallest slice of our lives to doing. We probably see things differently there. I’m in the Illich camp.
I'm confident that more people will learn the extent of the fraud that caused the pandemic disaster, and their fear will turn to anger and will demand revenge. Politicians will have to sacrifice some of their heroes to avoid their own blame.
More subtle failures of medicine are routinely observed, pedantically called iatrogenesis, but generally categorized as medical errors, assumed to be in the top 3 or 4 causes of death. Hard to say how many were saved when they got it right. Seems likely the balance is on accepting the risk.
I agree that people should attend to their health more carefully, as I discuss in my substack, and thus avoid some of the risk inherent in needing medical attention. Illich died of cancer, like Steve Jobs, and we have to wonder if their reluctance to accept the risks inherent in medical treatments made a difference in their outcomes. We'll never know, but we each decide for ourselves. It's a complicated business, and most people choose to avoid considering it altogether.
Our expectations of a standard healthspan with standard diets and standard medical care is satisfactory to most people, but is likely to change a lot, very soon. Sergey Young is a venture capitalist, investing $100 million, so far, in longevity research. He expects breakthroughs to raise our expectations to 150 years, within a couple decades. That seems likely. It will change a lot of outlooks. Maybe Illich was right for his time, but as we get smarter, we'll adapt.
David, I wish it were so but it is a bit of wishful thinking. I know a number of quite well educated folks that buy into the official line no matter what is presented. And "it would have been much worse without the vaccine, and one is less likely to die or be hospitalized" is the narrative.
"Worse without vax" is countered by the data. That's a clear case where evidence disproves the narrative, though many still cling to it. I still see a few people at the gym, shopping, etc, wearing plastic face shields over their mask. Entirely irrational, but most people have moved past those outdated superstitions. They still don't have confidence to openly oppose the groupthink, but they're no longer on board. One step at a time. There are always a few irrational people in any group, at any time. But society is driven by the majority, not the quirky few.
And education credentials certainly aren't good indicators of competence any more, if they ever were.
Mar 17, 2022·edited Mar 17, 2022Liked by Brian Mowrey
This is a website devoted to reading. I think you are all good. :)
I think the data is such a mess personally that I don't really know what to tell you.
So many data manipulation tricks, so much corruption, so many lies.
I'm happy to accept that there may have been *some* protection from Delta from the vaxxes, but not for very long. The (horribly named) "dry tinder effect" is real. Omicron is smashing the vaxxed, especially the boosted, and that vaxxed people have had horrific health problem immediately following their injections.
The last two I can personally verify easily.
Very certain I had Omicron recently and it was the mildest cold ever, with perhaps less than an hour of anything I would consider "serious" (by which I mean - oh dear, this isn't good, I'm pretty ill). Neighbour was pretty much on death's door (double vaxxed). I am of course a Pureblood.
Related to my reply to Jon above, it's a bit mix and match and I should refine my language on the NE vaccine protection effect a bit. NE doesn't really *prove* severe efficacy; they are just consistent with it. So if we hop to the South, late summer, infection efficacy is totally plummeting and injected and pureblood alike are getting infected. So that is where the low death count for the injected in the CDC report, as well as the VA study (*edit: it was an N3C database study actually https://unglossed.substack.com/p/truth-bombs-as-a-verb?s=w#footnote-3), suggests evidence of severe efficacy in the pre-Omicron era.
I think it's also unlikely to carry forward to a milder, super-disfigured variant - so once again this is an area where I might add a better disclaimer! Omicron expands the group that can be protected by regular-old innate immunity to include older adults, and so if indeed the injections are undermining innate immunity, then the purebloods are in a better position because a cold is just a cold.
Which plots? I hope to reupload the regional usmortality views if I have time. But they're as much for a "this is what to search" demonstration as anything.
The big NE states might be protected by having front-loaded deaths in 2020, yes (I will add a clarification if I can find a neat spot to place it). But that only makes them an even better "positive control" to remove the virus confounder, and look for a signal from boosters alone. Any attempt to ascribe the late summer wave deaths to boosters has to explain why NE dodged that bullet. (Again, I think the real AE signal is in the constant steady climb, no relation to injection dates.)
I really don't think the CDC "has" any useful data. They are hostage to whatever individual states have, and the blue states are staffed by goons. But here the relevant deaths are not from blue states, but FL, TX, etc...
Oh, I just went to find my link for the “VA study” I mentioned below and now I realize that it was actually N3C. So they did dare compare unvax/vaxxed outcomes but in a very indirect manner. This is the one that suggests ~56% “severe/death” efficacy but gives no way to weight for confounders https://unglossed.substack.com/p/truth-bombs-as-a-verb?s=w#footnote-3
Here I just assume they were teeing up a limited hangout reveal in advance. So the NYT breaks that they had these mid-range severe efficacy figures all along (of course they did) and it just drives the MSM-doubters into the unrealistic territory of doubting the corrected report.
Right, the NIH one and probably Marketscan could provide some much more robust US data than these multi-state patchworks. I would love that actually, but it doesn’t surprise me that the issue is verboten!
I am also a resident of Bizarro world, at least to some extent.. the fact that the hospital protocols literally kill people is a massive thumb on the scale. My pro-vax father can't get past this because he has seen unvaccinated people die of covid or have terrible sequelae, and says they should have gotten the vax, without realizing that the proper comparison is to a treatment protocol that isn't designed to kill the patient. People also get wrapped around the axle on effectiveness and waning. From what I can tell, the shots initially have negative effectiveness and a higher odds of infection (the worry window), then are broadly effective for a period of time, and then may resume negative effectiveness after "waning". At least that's what the UK data appears to show. Many people latch onto the waning and then attempt to disprove the period of effectiveness, which actually does exist. But remember, it doesn't need to prevent or even reduce chances of contracting covid, it only has to increase your odds of staying out of a hospital!
To make things more complex you also have variants that very in vax effectiveness as well as underlying severity.
Anyway, I had also noticed what you point out about all cause mortality in the northeast. There's no question that the Bizarro world effect is in full force here. However, as far as vax injury, I don't think it's impossible to see in all-cause mortality. Some vax injury happens right out of the gate, but other shows up later as a slow drip. The key to analyzing all cause mortality is age stratification, because death rates in the people who were likely to die anyway swamp the numbers. Have you seen this write-up on german numbers? It's a slam dunk in my opinion (note that I'm unaware of the covid protocols used in german hospitals, they are probably not as bad as the US):
https://metatron.substack.com/p/excess-mortality-in-germany-2020
He also has a deep dive on massachusetts which also shows a lot of problems if you stratify:
https://metatron.substack.com/p/the-definitive-guide-to-covid-and?s=r
One interesting question is how the vax stacks up against vitamin D.. if that was enough to reduce severity to keep out of the hospital, would it fix the stats?
Thanks for introducing me to insights from beyond the grave. 👍🏽🧡
NP.. here are some other sources that may be interesting if you have not seen them..
https://covidmythbuster.substack.com/p/googles-double-contradiction
https://igorchudov.substack.com/
https://moderndiscontent.substack.com/
substack is great but my inbox is a little out of control these days
Thanks, I already belong to those, and my inbox is the same way! I love all the different perspectives though, I so appreciate these substackers perspectives and expertise. 😊
Yeah ok and the Germany one looks the same way as far as scale, but much more dramatic time correlation. If Smalley follows up with a post saying “look, given MA and Germany, something is off about the scale of excess in other US states, there’s something going on besides the injections,” maybe Earth and Bizarro World can finally unite.
I recall approving of the MA review, as it didn’t try to take any leaps. So what I would do with that is say “this is the likely scale for 1st-year AE deaths, look, it’s smaller than the excess mortality in Southern and Midwestern red states who had less uptake, see where the disconnect is?” So I’ll check out the Germany one, thanks!
The UK data is hazardous because of a potential healthy user bias on who gets left behind after the booster roll-out, though it turns out more people declined booster than one might expect, so maybe it’s a valid signal of eventual negative severe efficacy. There could be a tipping point where antibodies don’t ramp up fast enough to prevent some spike in the blood which reinforces damage from the vaccine for example. The whole design is a double-edged sword after all.
Yes the MA review is pretty much 'here's the data' which is good. And it's not 100% clear what it all means - really it's the middle aged groups that really stand out IIRC. He has many many other posts that seem to all show similar trends though, in that all-cause does show some problems.
I agree about the UK data, there is the possibility of healthy user bias, and there is also always trickiness around rollouts where people are counted in the wrong bins. If only we had a proper clinical trial still running with a control group! But in any case, it doesn't disprove the Bizarro world claim that there really is an efficacy against severe infection, at least for some period of time.
BTW on an unrelated note, have you seen the latest from Arne Burkhardt in Germany? They just released a new updated report from their ongoing pathology work. One interesting thing they mentioned, was they've started doing direct pathogen testing on tissues, checking for S and N protein matches using tagged antibodies, and finding S protein without N in various places where damage has occurred. Note that this is on people who are many months post vax. The goal was to rule out COVID infections being the proximal cause. I'm not sure I understand how this happens, unless there are some cells that for whatever reason the spike proteins don't properly bind to the cell membrane, and they keep pumping them out. Otherwise, I would have thought those cells would be already killed. That's just a tiny part of the report though, they report a lot of what appears to be massive destruction throughout the body wrought by these injections. Another interesting thing, they investigated the likelihood of the injection going straight into the blood, and they concluded it's fairly likely. They also mentioned anecdotally that a pediatrician who routinely aspirates was finding a vein about 40% of the time IIRC. I didn't catch everything on the video and unfortunately they don't have a written report out yet.
https://pathologie-konferenz.de/en/
Wow/yikes! Thank you again.
That fits with my upcoming spike clots post. Spike induces amyloid clotting which is akin to bacterial biofilms, plus which has defective breakdown, so the clots turn into a time vault. Matches Cole’s slides which show cells trapped in the rubbery clot sample, again akin to a bacterial biofilm. But more likely for recipients with pre-primed hypercoagulation from diabetes etc.
BTW, I really appreciate all the work you do on these posts. Thank you for all of this, and I'm glad if I can contribute even in a small way.
Aha! Thanks, it hadn't occurred to me that the cells might just be inaccessible, but that makes a lot of sense.
Does Dr. Cole have an update? Last I heard he hadn't gotten a chance for a deep investigation. It also seems like some mortician should try to capture a sample intact within a vein for further analysis.
Right, and Cole's source is one of the embalmers (per Kirsch's post's text) so who knows if it's all a setup. He mentions seeing similar things in tissue slides. The Kirsch update was still just the other day https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/pathologist-ryan-cole-on-the-mysterious and the accidentally plausible explanation for the structure comes from Pretorius's research https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/labs/pmc/articles/PMC8380922/ Figs 6 and 7 (her team's work spans several papers showing amyloid clotting during infection but this is the one that tests out spike S1 alone)
Yes, the embalmer thing seemed too crazy to be true, but I increasingly tend to believe it. But I was wondering why pathology studies had not discovered it.
Another mystery is how exactly these form so long after vaccination - as the presumption is that the spike proteins and transfected cells are all long gone by that point. Accretion of microclots? Or something to do with widespread micro-leaks from the circulatory system caused by NLPs attacking it all over the place ( https://covidmythbuster.substack.com/p/embalmer-conundrum-aha-moment?s=r )
I didn't completely understand that aspect of the Burkhardt video, except that it sounded like he had discovered a similar type of material?
It would be helpful to reader to be a bit more concise.
Yes, I often wonder what is the point of some of these articles.
Thank you for the honest feedback.
I do sprawl the prose quite a bit when going into "contrarian Covid vax skeptic" territory. But, I'm doing so in response to the knowledge that most of my readers have imbibed an alternate reality for months on end and there is a huge perspective gap to bridge. It's like trying to write a recipe but having to define "egg" and "flour" from the ground up first. Still, I'll try to trim it down next time!
Please don't trim. Just remain eloquent. For the slow readers, here's a summary: Governments bad. Victims sad. Abused mad.
I'm a big fan of investigation, but a bigger fan of prosecution. The big question is when will the perpetrators be brought to justice. Many will escape, but I'm confident there will be prosecutions. Hopefully enough to discourage doing it again. Many governments have clearly developed a taste for it, and they'll keep at it until WE make them stop.
Thank you. I am not confident in such things at all. I’m more wishful that humans can just stop thinking of taking and administering medicine as something we should be devoting more than the smallest slice of our lives to doing. We probably see things differently there. I’m in the Illich camp.
I'm confident that more people will learn the extent of the fraud that caused the pandemic disaster, and their fear will turn to anger and will demand revenge. Politicians will have to sacrifice some of their heroes to avoid their own blame.
More subtle failures of medicine are routinely observed, pedantically called iatrogenesis, but generally categorized as medical errors, assumed to be in the top 3 or 4 causes of death. Hard to say how many were saved when they got it right. Seems likely the balance is on accepting the risk.
I agree that people should attend to their health more carefully, as I discuss in my substack, and thus avoid some of the risk inherent in needing medical attention. Illich died of cancer, like Steve Jobs, and we have to wonder if their reluctance to accept the risks inherent in medical treatments made a difference in their outcomes. We'll never know, but we each decide for ourselves. It's a complicated business, and most people choose to avoid considering it altogether.
Our expectations of a standard healthspan with standard diets and standard medical care is satisfactory to most people, but is likely to change a lot, very soon. Sergey Young is a venture capitalist, investing $100 million, so far, in longevity research. He expects breakthroughs to raise our expectations to 150 years, within a couple decades. That seems likely. It will change a lot of outlooks. Maybe Illich was right for his time, but as we get smarter, we'll adapt.
David, I wish it were so but it is a bit of wishful thinking. I know a number of quite well educated folks that buy into the official line no matter what is presented. And "it would have been much worse without the vaccine, and one is less likely to die or be hospitalized" is the narrative.
"Worse without vax" is countered by the data. That's a clear case where evidence disproves the narrative, though many still cling to it. I still see a few people at the gym, shopping, etc, wearing plastic face shields over their mask. Entirely irrational, but most people have moved past those outdated superstitions. They still don't have confidence to openly oppose the groupthink, but they're no longer on board. One step at a time. There are always a few irrational people in any group, at any time. But society is driven by the majority, not the quirky few.
And education credentials certainly aren't good indicators of competence any more, if they ever were.
This is a website devoted to reading. I think you are all good. :)
I think the data is such a mess personally that I don't really know what to tell you.
So many data manipulation tricks, so much corruption, so many lies.
I'm happy to accept that there may have been *some* protection from Delta from the vaxxes, but not for very long. The (horribly named) "dry tinder effect" is real. Omicron is smashing the vaxxed, especially the boosted, and that vaxxed people have had horrific health problem immediately following their injections.
The last two I can personally verify easily.
Very certain I had Omicron recently and it was the mildest cold ever, with perhaps less than an hour of anything I would consider "serious" (by which I mean - oh dear, this isn't good, I'm pretty ill). Neighbour was pretty much on death's door (double vaxxed). I am of course a Pureblood.
Anyway, just my two cents.
Mine was mild also. Had it just after Christmas. I am 67. No vax. Good health.
Loosing taste/smell was weird though. I mean it was completely gone for almost a week.
Related to my reply to Jon above, it's a bit mix and match and I should refine my language on the NE vaccine protection effect a bit. NE doesn't really *prove* severe efficacy; they are just consistent with it. So if we hop to the South, late summer, infection efficacy is totally plummeting and injected and pureblood alike are getting infected. So that is where the low death count for the injected in the CDC report, as well as the VA study (*edit: it was an N3C database study actually https://unglossed.substack.com/p/truth-bombs-as-a-verb?s=w#footnote-3), suggests evidence of severe efficacy in the pre-Omicron era.
I think it's also unlikely to carry forward to a milder, super-disfigured variant - so once again this is an area where I might add a better disclaimer! Omicron expands the group that can be protected by regular-old innate immunity to include older adults, and so if indeed the injections are undermining innate immunity, then the purebloods are in a better position because a cold is just a cold.
More or less same here.
usmortality captures have been re-uploaded in super-size.
Which plots? I hope to reupload the regional usmortality views if I have time. But they're as much for a "this is what to search" demonstration as anything.
The big NE states might be protected by having front-loaded deaths in 2020, yes (I will add a clarification if I can find a neat spot to place it). But that only makes them an even better "positive control" to remove the virus confounder, and look for a signal from boosters alone. Any attempt to ascribe the late summer wave deaths to boosters has to explain why NE dodged that bullet. (Again, I think the real AE signal is in the constant steady climb, no relation to injection dates.)
I really don't think the CDC "has" any useful data. They are hostage to whatever individual states have, and the blue states are staffed by goons. But here the relevant deaths are not from blue states, but FL, TX, etc...
Oh, I just went to find my link for the “VA study” I mentioned below and now I realize that it was actually N3C. So they did dare compare unvax/vaxxed outcomes but in a very indirect manner. This is the one that suggests ~56% “severe/death” efficacy but gives no way to weight for confounders https://unglossed.substack.com/p/truth-bombs-as-a-verb?s=w#footnote-3
Here I just assume they were teeing up a limited hangout reveal in advance. So the NYT breaks that they had these mid-range severe efficacy figures all along (of course they did) and it just drives the MSM-doubters into the unrealistic territory of doubting the corrected report.
Right, the NIH one and probably Marketscan could provide some much more robust US data than these multi-state patchworks. I would love that actually, but it doesn’t surprise me that the issue is verboten!