A follow-up to “American excess mortality does not reflect Covid vaccine harms (yet)” Notes: Light blue: Cumulative reported infections with SARS-CoV-2. Worldometers.info. Purple: Aggregate excess mortality, ages 45-64. Usmortality.com. Early 2020 “pre-test era” offsets are assigned to states
Jan 13, 2023·edited Jan 13, 2023Liked by Brian Mowrey
This is not on topic but it is semi-related.
A claim that Ivermectin works in an even simpler manner than I thought. That is, it's main effect is not that it prevents the virus from replicating (due to binding to 3CLpro and/or the N-protein) but that it prevents the formation of syncytia in the lungs because it binds to the S-protein. Those syncytia can be either erythrocytes (ie, RBCs leading to blood clots) or epithelial cells in the lungs, etc.
That action would probably prevent invasion by pneumonia causing bacteria and allow the victims lungs to function properly:
Although this isn't an ideal debate method (there are much better ways), I still appreciate the back-and-forth. And, I hope you continue to respond to criticism and contention —particularly in the composed manner that you do. Thanks, Brian
Thanks for compiling all of this data Brian. It does help put into perspective how each state differed in their trends. It's interesting a few had a spike in mortality right after the EUA or booster, but of course the booster's coinciding with Delta makes the data more difficult to parse due to that variable.
I am curious about the EUA timepoints for places such as California, as I believe they were one of the hardest locked-down states. So I'm curious if the removal of lockdowns due to these "highly protective" vaccines may have allowed vulnerable people to become infected. There's a ton of heterogeneity in the data so I understand why it's so difficult in getting accurate information.
Do you think we might be seeing excess deaths level off in places like NY and NJ, after November 2022, and deviate in trend from the case count, because booster uptake is dropped off? In other words covid cases rise in number but once the boosters have done their job and people who were going to die from them are dead, the deaths flatten?
Wondering how the court case from the 1/2 dozen US universities affects these graphs. I.e. They all tested the same 1500 positive PCR tests all influenza A and a lesser % B. No convid detected. That only leaves medical malpractice, failure to treat flu with antibiotics and the jib jabs.
Jan 12, 2023·edited Jan 12, 2023Liked by Brian Mowrey
What's interesting is where there's a fairly sharp 'elbow' in the waves of cases between Delta and Omicron showing a cleaner changeover, but in the flattish period before, the excess deaths are outpacing cases. California, Colorado, Illinois, Missouri, Virginia, Washington are examples.
Alabama, Texas, Florida and Georgia are pretty good counter examples, though some show a similar though more muted effect between Alpha and Delta.
The rest are a bit 'meh', maybe seasonal effects and possibly population spread caused the different variant waves to merge together.
Is there a way to get information on the average amount of time after the booster people have died? Also,is there a larger increase in death with every booster? Is there a shorter amount of time from booster until heart issues for each additional shot? I guess have to read a book on compiling statistics.
👏👏👏👏💯👍. I'm very sure it is going to continue to trend up. I hope to hell it doesn't, but I think it will.
We are not at the peak effect yet. In the present and future, separating it out is going to be the hard part, and powers that be, are banking on keeping the data muddied. If we spend all our time chasing "clear data", we won't have time to pay attention to things that should not be happening- like the WHO pandemic response amendments, being voted in secret this week. See James Roguski's Substack.
Interesting. In a quite a few states, it seems like the purple slope of excess deaths increases a little bit after EUA and a moderate slope increase following the booster. Of course, that is the same period you write "delta" as starting. But the first several weeks of Delta, no increase. Only following boosters. Hmm....excess deaths seems to tale off when omicron came out but also when omicron came out is when people stopped boosting (ie 4th booster is about 12% uptake) and many started to decline vaccines.
This is not on topic but it is semi-related.
A claim that Ivermectin works in an even simpler manner than I thought. That is, it's main effect is not that it prevents the virus from replicating (due to binding to 3CLpro and/or the N-protein) but that it prevents the formation of syncytia in the lungs because it binds to the S-protein. Those syncytia can be either erythrocytes (ie, RBCs leading to blood clots) or epithelial cells in the lungs, etc.
That action would probably prevent invasion by pneumonia causing bacteria and allow the victims lungs to function properly:
https://petermcculloughmd.substack.com/p/ivermectins-mechanism-of-action-against
Although this isn't an ideal debate method (there are much better ways), I still appreciate the back-and-forth. And, I hope you continue to respond to criticism and contention —particularly in the composed manner that you do. Thanks, Brian
Why are you analyzing bad datasets?
Thanks for compiling all of this data Brian. It does help put into perspective how each state differed in their trends. It's interesting a few had a spike in mortality right after the EUA or booster, but of course the booster's coinciding with Delta makes the data more difficult to parse due to that variable.
I am curious about the EUA timepoints for places such as California, as I believe they were one of the hardest locked-down states. So I'm curious if the removal of lockdowns due to these "highly protective" vaccines may have allowed vulnerable people to become infected. There's a ton of heterogeneity in the data so I understand why it's so difficult in getting accurate information.
Do you think we might be seeing excess deaths level off in places like NY and NJ, after November 2022, and deviate in trend from the case count, because booster uptake is dropped off? In other words covid cases rise in number but once the boosters have done their job and people who were going to die from them are dead, the deaths flatten?
Wondering how the court case from the 1/2 dozen US universities affects these graphs. I.e. They all tested the same 1500 positive PCR tests all influenza A and a lesser % B. No convid detected. That only leaves medical malpractice, failure to treat flu with antibiotics and the jib jabs.
What's interesting is where there's a fairly sharp 'elbow' in the waves of cases between Delta and Omicron showing a cleaner changeover, but in the flattish period before, the excess deaths are outpacing cases. California, Colorado, Illinois, Missouri, Virginia, Washington are examples.
Alabama, Texas, Florida and Georgia are pretty good counter examples, though some show a similar though more muted effect between Alpha and Delta.
The rest are a bit 'meh', maybe seasonal effects and possibly population spread caused the different variant waves to merge together.
Something to check out from UK data & vax staus - https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/another-look-at-uk-all-cause-mortality?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=323914&post_id=95901339&isFreemail=true&utm_medium=email
Is there a way to get information on the average amount of time after the booster people have died? Also,is there a larger increase in death with every booster? Is there a shorter amount of time from booster until heart issues for each additional shot? I guess have to read a book on compiling statistics.
Brian what are your thoughts on Eric Topols article in praise of bivalent boosters? https://open.substack.com/pub/erictopol/p/the-bivalent-vaccine-booster-outperforms?r=7csq7&utm_medium=ios&utm_campaign=post
👏👏👏👏💯👍. I'm very sure it is going to continue to trend up. I hope to hell it doesn't, but I think it will.
We are not at the peak effect yet. In the present and future, separating it out is going to be the hard part, and powers that be, are banking on keeping the data muddied. If we spend all our time chasing "clear data", we won't have time to pay attention to things that should not be happening- like the WHO pandemic response amendments, being voted in secret this week. See James Roguski's Substack.
Hark ... is that VAIDS that cometh?
Purple: Aggregate excess mortality, ages 45-64 Can never go down right? And yet it does.
Really good info. So it looks like Covid isn’t mild.
Interesting. In a quite a few states, it seems like the purple slope of excess deaths increases a little bit after EUA and a moderate slope increase following the booster. Of course, that is the same period you write "delta" as starting. But the first several weeks of Delta, no increase. Only following boosters. Hmm....excess deaths seems to tale off when omicron came out but also when omicron came out is when people stopped boosting (ie 4th booster is about 12% uptake) and many started to decline vaccines.